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Investing in Fixed Income

Fixed income is a debt instrument with a commitment to future payment. The most common type is bonds, which are grouped into:

  • Government: issued by the state or a public entity (regional government, local authority, etc.).
    • T-bills: The term is usually short, less than 18 months. These do not pay a coupon; they are issued at a discount and redeemed at par. For example, you might buy at a discount at €90, but they buy it back at par at €100.
    • Bonds: Long term; these do pay a coupon.
  • Corporate: issued by companies. They can be secured (collateral against assets; in default the bondholder can claim liquidation) or unsecured (no real collateral; generally higher coupon and higher risk).

A bond usually pays a coupon (periodic interest) and has a maturity.

The issuer must buy it back by that date at par value (face value, nominal). This information appears in the broker fact sheet and in the prospectus.

Credit quality

The S&P, Moody’s and Fitch agencies assign a rating: the higher the quality, the lower the coupon (lower default risk).

TypeRating range
Investment Grade (IG)AAA to BBB- (Baa3 in Moody’s)
High-Yield / JunkBB+ to D (C in Moody’s)

There are also unrated bonds (mid or small companies), where more valuation inefficiencies can appear because many funds do not consider them.

Credit rating scales (Moody’s, S&P, Fitch)

Credit rating

Payment hierarchy (corporate bonds)

In the event of dissolution (bankruptcy or agreed liquidation), the order of payment is usually:

  1. Senior – highest priority
  2. Subordinated – next
  3. Preferred stock – after that
  4. Common stock – last

That is why shareholders often receive nothing in a bankruptcy: bondholders are paid first (and often they do not recover 100% either).

Value investing in bonds: Yield to Maturity (YTM)

Value investing consists of buying assets below their intrinsic value (bonds, shares, property, etc.).

If we buy a bond below par and the issuer is solvent, we are buying below that value.

What matters is the Yield to Maturity (YTM): the annualised return if the bond is held to maturity. There are free calculators using current price, par value, years to maturity and coupon.

Conceptual formula:

YTM(Face ValueCurrent Price)1/n1 \text{YTM} \approx \left( \frac{\text{Face Value}}{\text{Current Price}} \right)^{1/n} - 1

Where:

  • nn = years to maturity
  • Face value = par
  • Current price = current price

Bonds and interest rates

Central banks raise or lower reference rates; that trend is reflected in short-term bond yields.

Price–interest rate relationship

  • Rates fall → bond price RISES.
  • Rates rise → bond price FALLS.

The longer the bond’s duration, the more these moves are amplified. US bonds with more than 20 years to maturity fell by almost 50% between 2020 and 2023. Buying very long maturities is equivalent to taking a strong view on the path of interest rates.